000
WTPZ31 KNHC 151445
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IRWIN ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112011
800 AM PDT SAT OCT 15 2011
 
...IRWIN MOVING SOUTHWARD....NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 106.6W
ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 185 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRWIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.6 WEST. IRWIN IS
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H.  A TURN TO THE
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A SLOWER
SOUTHWESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION ON SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  IRWIN IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN