000
WTPZ31 KNHC 150832
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IRWIN ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112011
200 AM PDT SAT OCT 15 2011
 
...IRWIN TURNS TO THE SOUTH...A LITTLE WEAKER...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 106.6W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 185 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRWIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.6 WEST. IRWIN IS
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H.  A TURN TO THE 
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A SLOWER
SOUTHWESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION ON SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  IRWIN COULD WEAKEN INTO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION LATER TODAY.  
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE