000
WTPZ31 KNHC 132031
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IRWIN ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112011
200 PM PDT THU OCT 13 2011
 
...IRWIN NOW MOVING EASTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH..
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 106.5W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRWIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST. IRWIN IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST ARE EXPECTED THIS
EVENING...FOLLOWED BY AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN
TOWARD THE SOUTH BY LATE FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN