000 WTPZ31 KNHC 130831 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112011 200 AM PDT THU OCT 13 2011 ...IRWIN EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.3N 107.7W ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.7 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE FORECAST LATER TODAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST EXPECTED BY EARLY FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. IRWIN IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE