000
WTPZ31 KNHC 122048
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IRWIN ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112011
200 PM PDT WED OCT 12 2011
 
...SATELLITE DATA SHOWS THAT IRWIN IS STILL A TROPICAL STORM...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 109.4W
ABOUT 415 MI...670 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRWIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.4 WEST. IRWIN IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H.  A TURN
TOWARD THE EAST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST EXPECTED
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
 
DATA FROM THE EUROPEAN ADVANCED SCATTEROMETER INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND
IRWIN IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A DEPRESSION ON THURSDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN