000
WTPZ31 KNHC 121450
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IRWIN ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112011
800 AM PDT WED OCT 12 2011
 
...IRWIN MOVING FASTER TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 110.7W
ABOUT 480 MI...770 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 470 MI...755 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRWIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.7 WEST. IRWIN IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H.  A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE EAST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND IRWIN COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR
ON THURSDAY.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN