000 WTPZ31 KNHC 112033 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IRWIN ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112011 200 PM PDT TUE OCT 11 2011 ...IRWIN A LITTLE STRONGER...STILL ON AN EASTWARD COURSE... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.9N 114.2W ABOUT 620 MI...1000 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 95 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRWIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.2 WEST. IRWIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST- NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...FOLLOWED BY A TURN BACK TOWARD THE EAST ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING ON THURSDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN