000
WTPZ31 KNHC 102031
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IRWIN ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112011
200 PM PDT MON OCT 10 2011
 
...IRWIN POORLY ORGANIZED...HEADING EASTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.9N 116.9W
ABOUT 715 MI...1155 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRWIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.9 WEST. IRWIN IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT DAY OR SO...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND IRWIN IS LIKELY TO BECOME
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY TUESDAY.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN