000 WTPZ31 KNHC 092032 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IRWIN ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112011 200 PM PDT SUN OCT 09 2011 ...IRWIN MOVING SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.2N 119.3W ABOUT 810 MI...1305 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRWIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.3 WEST. IRWIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN