000 WTPZ31 KNHC 110848 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE ADRIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012011 200 AM PDT SAT JUN 11 2011 ...ADRIAN WEAKENING VERY RAPIDLY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.8N 110.7W ABOUT 495 MI...795 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... NONE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ADRIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.7 WEST. ADRIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH... 140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADRIAN IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND ADRIAN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY AND TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY ADRIAN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT A PORTION OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY THIS WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN