000
WTPZ31 KNHC 040244
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL     EP112010
800 PM PDT FRI SEP 03 2010
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.5N 95.2W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM S OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM BOCA DE PIJIJIAPAN WESTWARD TO
PUERTO ANGEL
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO MEXICO...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND
WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
ELEVEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.2 WEST.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9
KM/HR.  THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
ON SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE MOVING INLAND ON SATURDAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA EARLY SATURDAY.
 
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF OAXACA.
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...WHICH COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/BRENNAN