000 WTPZ31 KNHC 032255 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112010 400 PM PDT FRI SEP 03 2010 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 PM PDT...2300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.1N 94.3W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SE OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM BOCA DE PIJIJIAPAN WESTWARD TO PUERTO ANGEL. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM BOCA DE PIJIJIAPAN WESTWARD TO PUERTO ANGEL A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO MEXICO...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 400 PM PDT...2300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE MOVING INLAND ON SATURDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA EARLY SATURDAY. RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF OAXACA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WHICH COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG/BRENNAN