000
WTNT35 KNHC 100240
TCPAT5
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1000 PM CDT THU AUG 09 2012
 
...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO AS ERNESTO
WEAKENS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 96.7W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SSW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM N OF OAXACA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.7 WEST. ERNESTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY UNTIL THE CYCLONE
DISSIPATES.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND ERNESTO
IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON FRIDAY AS THE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO MOVE
INLAND OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55
KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN A SMALL AREA NEAR
CENTER OF ERNESTO OVERNIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE BY
EARLY FRIDAY.
 
RAINFALL...ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF
VERACRUZ...TABASCO...PUEBLA...AND OAXACA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
ASSOCIATION WITH ERNESTO. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN