000
WTNT35 KNHC 040842
TCPAT5
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
500 AM AST SAT AUG 04 2012
 
...ERNESTO A LITTLE STRONGER...INTERESTS IN JAMAICA SHOULD MONITOR
ITS PROGRESS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 67.2W
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM SSW OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
ABOUT 690 MI...1115 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN JAMAICA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
JAMAICA LATER TODAY. 
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.2 WEST. ERNESTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF ERNESTO WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN
AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA OVER THE WEEKEND AND PASS NEAR OR SOUTH OF
JAMAICA ON SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE
ON SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON JAMAICA BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN