000 WTNT35 KNHC 260231 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152010 1000 PM CDT SAT SEP 25 2010 ...MATTHEW BRINGING HEAVY RAIN TO CENTRAL AMERICA AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.0N 91.0W ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM W OF TIKAL GUATEMALA ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SSE OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY BY LATE SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA AND EXTREME SOUTHERN MEXICO WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. A HEAVY RAIN THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA EVEN AFTER MATTHEW DISSIPATES. IN THE 24 HOURS ENDING AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...PUERTO BARRIOS GUATEMALA REPORTED 6.42 INCHES... 163 MM...OF RAINFALL...AND FLORES GUATEMALA REPORTED 6.10 INCHES ...155 MM. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN