000
WTNT35 KNHC 141755
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OMAR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
200 PM AST TUE OCT 14 2008
 
...OMAR STRENGTHENS AS IT LASHES ARUBA...CURACAO...AND BONAIRE...
WITH GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE EXTREME
EASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO
ENGANO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
ISLANDS OF ST. MARTIN...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND SABA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OMAR WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT TO BE
NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.9 WEST OR ABOUT 375
MILES...600 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT
110 MILES...180 KM...NORTH OF CURACAO.
 
OMAR IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE EAST IS FORECAST TO OCCUR LATER TODAY...WITH A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST EXPECTED ON
WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...83 KM/HR. HOWEVER...THE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT HAS NOT COMPLETED ITS INVESTIGATION OF
OMAR...AND THE TROPICAL STORM COULD BE STRONGER.  ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...
110 KM...MAINLY EAST THROUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER. A WIND GUST TO 
43 MPH...63 KM/HR...WAS RECENTLY REPORTED ON CURACAO.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.20 INCHES.
 
OMAR MAY PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER
PORTIONS OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES POSSIBLE.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EXTREME NORTHWESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL VENEZUELA AND THE NORTHERN GUAJIRA PENINSULA. THESE
RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 200 PM AST POSITION...13.8 N...68.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART