000
WTNT35 KNHC 132036
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
500 PM AST MON OCT 13 2008
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEARLY STATIONARY...

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EXTREME EASTERN PORTION
OF HISPANIOLA FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO ENGANO.
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.9 WEST OR ABOUT
355 MILES...570 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 185
MILES...295 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CURACAO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THEREAFTER...A NORTHEAST TRACK WITH AN INCREASE
FORWARD SPEED SHOULD BEGIN...BRINGING THE CENTER VERY NEAR PUERTO
RICO OR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR
TUESDAY. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY
APPROACHING THE DEPRESSION.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
THIS IS A LARGE DEPRESSION AND BANDS OF HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE 
SPREADING OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO. 

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...14.8 N...69.9 W.  MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1006 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA