000
WTNT35 KNHC 160235
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIN ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052007
1000 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2007
 
...ERIN APPROACHES THE TEXAS COAST WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM
SAN LUIS PASS SOUTHWARD TO BROWNSVILLE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.7 WEST OR ABOUT 140
MILES...220 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 200
MILES...325 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.
 
ERIN IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14
MPH...22 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF ERIN IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY NEAR THE
TEXAS COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TOMORROW MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH
OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8
INCHES POSSIBLE.
 
STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS MAY BE
EXPERIENCED IN A FEW COASTAL LOCATIONS TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE
CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS GULF COAST ON
THURSDAY.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...26.5 N...95.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 100 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400
AM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN