000
WTNT34 KNHC 182053
TCPAT4
 
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142013
500 PM AST MON NOV 18 2013
 
...MELLISSA STRENGTHENS OVER THE OPEN CENTRAL ATLANTIC...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.8N 54.2W
ABOUT 650 MI...1045 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.2 WEST. THE
STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TUESDAY MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED BY LATE
TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND MELISSA IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO A TROPICAL
CYCLONE ON TUESDAY...AND THE SYSTEM COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE
STRENGTH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445
KM...MAINLY NORTHWEST THROUGH NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. MELISSA 
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A LARGE SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA...PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...HISPANIOLA...AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...CAUSING
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM
YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR MORE DETAILS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART