000 WTNT32 KNHC 101438 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013 1100 AM AST TUE SEP 10 2013 ...CONDITIONS ON BERMUDA EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.6N 65.0W ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.0 WEST. GABRIELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GABRIELLE IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER OR NEAR BERMUDA TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...GABRIELLE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER BERMUDA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 7 INCHES POSSIBLE. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED ON BERMUDA. IN ADDITION...ROUGH SURF CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT BERMUDA BY THIS AFTERNOON. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE IN BERMUDA BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN