000 WTNT32 KNHC 100833 TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072009 500 AM AST THU SEP 10 2009 ...FRED STILL A POWERFUL HURRICANE...EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD BY LATE TONIGHT... AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRED WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 34.6 WEST OR ABOUT 705 MILES... 1135 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A CONSIDERABLE DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED BY LATE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FRED IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND FRED IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TO A TROPICAL STORM BY SATURDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. ...SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION... LOCATION...15.9N 34.6W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE