000 WTNT31 KNHC 022340 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 800 PM EDT TUE NOV 02 2010 ...TOMAS SLOWS DOWN... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.5N 75.0W ABOUT 395 MI...665 KM SSW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * JAMAICA INTERESTS IN HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. TOMAS COULD POSE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO THOSE AREAS LATER IN THE WEEK. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.0 WEST. TOMAS IS NOW MOVING A LITTLE SLOWER TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...NORTHWEST...AND NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND TOMAS COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH BY THURSDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER MUCH OF ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND CURACAO. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHERN COASTAL AREAS OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART