000 WTNT31 KNHC 012041 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 500 PM AST MON NOV 01 2010 ...DISORGANIZED TOMAS MOVING TOWARD THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.4N 69.7W ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM NNE OF ARUBA ABOUT 400 MI...640 KM SSE OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN JAMAICA...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND HAITI SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.7 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI