000
WTNT31 KNHC 020600
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062009
200 AM AST WED SEP 02 2009
 
...ERIKA LESS ORGANIZED BUT CENTER APPEARS TO BE CLOSER TO THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. MAARTEN...
ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST. MARTIN AND
ST. BARTHELEMY.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THESE
AND SOME OF THE OTHER LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER THIS MORNING.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE U.S. AND
BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE.  FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.7
WEST OR ABOUT 200 MILES...320 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS.
 
ERIKA APPEARS TO HAVE MOVED GENERALLY WESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH...16
KM/HR OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT IT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION LATER THIS MORNING.  ON THIS TRACK...THE
CENTER OF ERIKA COULD PASS NEAR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER
TODAY.  HOWEVER MOST OF THE STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM
ARE OCCURRING WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
DATA IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
 
ERIKA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES.
 
...SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...17.0N 58.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL 
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG