000
WTNT31 KNHC 280856
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162007
500 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2007
 
...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING OVER HISPANIOLA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER
WESTWARD TO PORT-AU-PRINCE.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF
GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR JAMAICA LATER
TODAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.1 WEST OR ABOUT
215 MILES...345 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC AND ABOUT 165 MILES...270 KM...SOUTH OF PORT AU PRINCE
HAITI.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
EVEN THOUGH THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION COULD PASS SOUTH OF
HISPANIOLA...HEAVY RAINS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER WILL
PASS OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI DURING THE NEXT 24-36
HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 10 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12
INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHEASTERN CUBA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO
5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER PUERTO RICO DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IN
JAMAICA...4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS...PARTICULARLY IN HAITI AND THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES. 

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...16.2 N...72.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN