000
WTPZ25 KNHC 231602
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM IVO SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102019
1600 UTC FRI AUG 23 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 115.0W AT 23/1600Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 110SE 120SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 115.0W AT 23/1600Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 114.8W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.0N 115.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 21.6N 116.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.1N 117.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 24.6N 117.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 27.6N 118.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 115.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER LATTO/BLAKE