000
WTPZ25 KNHC 222031
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102019
2100 UTC THU AUG 22 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 114.1W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  90SE  60SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 114.1W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 113.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.0N 114.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.2N 116.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 22.0N 117.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 25.9N 119.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 28.5N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 114.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE