000
WTPZ25 KNHC 212201 CCA
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102019
2100 UTC WED AUG 21 2019

CORRECTED STORM ID IN THE HEADER BLOCK

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 109.5W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 109.5W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 108.8W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.4N 111.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.2N 113.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 18.2N 115.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  80SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.5N 116.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 22.5N 117.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 25.8N 119.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 28.8N 121.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 109.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER LATTO/PASCH