000 WTPZ25 KNHC 050251 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM NEWTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016 0300 UTC MON SEP 05 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS UPGRADED THE HURRICANE WATCH TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ TO SANTA FE...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN EVARISTO TO LORETO...AND FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MAZATLAN TO HUATABAMPITO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LA PAZ TO SANTA FE...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SAN EVARISTO * NORTH OF SANTA FE TO CABO SAN LAZARO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SAN EVARISTO TO LORETO * NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO * MAZATLAN TO HUATABAMPITO A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM- FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 105.7W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 50SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 105.7W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 105.5W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.4N 106.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 50SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.2N 108.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 150SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.3N 109.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 0NW. 34 KT...130NE 170SE 70SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 24.7N 110.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 29.9N 111.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 50SE 30SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 34.5N 109.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 105.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG