000
WTPZ25 KNHC 040852
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM IVETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102016
0900 UTC THU AUG 04 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 124.7W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 124.7W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 124.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.8N 126.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.9N 129.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.2N 131.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.8N 133.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.9N 136.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 18.3N 140.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 19.3N 143.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 124.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN