000
WTPZ25 KNHC 170235
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052016
0300 UTC SUN JUL 17 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 125.8W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 125.8W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 125.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.4N 127.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.7N 129.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.9N 131.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 19.1N 133.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.8N 138.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 19.6N 142.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 18.5N 147.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 125.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH