000
WTPZ25 KNHC 150838
TCMEP5

HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052016
0900 UTC FRI JUL 15 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 120.0W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 120.0W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 119.5W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.5N 121.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.2N 123.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 17.6N 125.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.9N 127.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 18.5N 131.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 19.0N 135.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 19.0N 140.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 120.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN