000
WTPZ25 KNHC 150244
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052016
0300 UTC FRI JUL 15 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 119.1W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 119.1W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 118.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.4N 120.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.9N 122.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.4N 124.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.6N 126.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.1N 130.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 18.3N 135.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 18.6N 140.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 119.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART