000
WTPZ25 KNHC 130856
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052016
0900 UTC WED JUL 13 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 111.5W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  15SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 111.5W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 111.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.3N 113.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.5N 115.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.7N 117.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.0N 120.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.7N 124.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 17.5N 128.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 18.5N 132.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 111.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE