000
WTPZ25 KNHC 180251
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202014
0300 UTC SAT OCT 18 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TECPAN DE GALEANA TO LAGUNA DE CHACAHUA MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  99.0W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  99.0W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  99.0W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 16.5N  99.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  20SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.8N  99.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.0N  99.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N  99.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE