000 WTPZ25 KNHC 150852 TCMEP5 HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152014 0900 UTC MON SEP 15 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM LORETO TO SANTA ROSALIA WITH A HURRICANE WARNING. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA EUGENCIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE AND ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO SANTA ROSALIA A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES * THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS * MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN * THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE * MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 110.4W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......140NE 160SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 360SE 180SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 110.4W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 110.0W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 25.1N 111.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 26.7N 112.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 28.0N 113.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.0N 114.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 30.0N 113.7W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 30.7N 113.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 110.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN