000 WTPZ25 KNHC 150259 TCMEP5 HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152014 0300 UTC MON SEP 15 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR NORTHWARD TO LORETO. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA...AND FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS...AND FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LORETO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA * THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS * MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 109.6W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 930 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......160NE 160SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 360SE 270SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 109.6W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 109.2W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 24.0N 110.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 25.4N 112.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 26.7N 113.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 27.7N 113.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 28.7N 114.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 29.8N 113.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 30.5N 113.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 109.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH