000 WTPZ25 KNHC 141452 TCMEP5 HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152014 1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM MULEGE TO SANTA ROSALIA...AND HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL WATCH NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LA PAZ A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA. * THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES * THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SANTA ROSALIA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF SANTA ROSALIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 108.2W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 941 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 108.2W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 107.7W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.7N 109.6W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 23.5N 111.4W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 24.9N 112.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 25.9N 113.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 27.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 28.1N 116.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 28.3N 116.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 108.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART