000 WTPZ25 KNHC 140858 TCMEP5 HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152014 0900 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO. A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO PUNTA EUGENIA. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TO MULEGE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREJOS. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO SANTA ROSALIA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LA PAZ A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA. * THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES * THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO MULEGE. * THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF MULEGE TO SANTA ROSALIA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.3W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 941 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT.......160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 390SE 330SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.3W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 106.9W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.7N 108.6W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.7N 110.5W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 24.3N 112.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.6N 113.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 27.3N 115.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 28.2N 116.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 28.5N 116.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 107.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN