000 WTPZ25 KNHC 140241 TCMEP5 HURRICANE ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152014 0300 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD... AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES... AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO MULEGE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO LA PAZ A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO * THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES * THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS * THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO MULEGE A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 106.5W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......160NE 160SE 160SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 300SE 270SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 106.5W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 106.2W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.2N 107.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 150SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.4N 109.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 23.2N 111.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 130SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 24.6N 112.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 26.5N 114.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 28.0N 116.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 29.0N 116.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 106.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN