000
WTPZ25 KNHC 130250
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0300 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA ON SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 105.3W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 150SE 180SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 270SE 270SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 105.3W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 105.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.6N 105.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  60SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 160SE 180SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.5N 107.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 180SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.9N 108.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 180SE 180SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 20.7N 110.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 150SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 23.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 25.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 26.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 105.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN