000
WTPZ25 KNHC 121438
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
1500 UTC FRI SEP 12 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 105.0W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 150SE 180SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE 210SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 105.0W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 104.9W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.6N 105.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 170SE 180SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.0N 106.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.9N 107.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.5N 109.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 21.6N 113.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 23.8N 115.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 25.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 105.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS