000
WTPZ25 KNHC 120839
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0900 UTC FRI SEP 12 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 104.9W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 150SE 180SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 210SE 210SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 104.9W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 104.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.4N 105.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 160SE 180SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.6N 105.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 180SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.4N 106.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.8N 108.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 20.9N 112.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 23.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 25.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 104.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN