000
WTPZ25 KNHC 112035
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
2100 UTC THU SEP 11 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 104.7W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 104.7W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 104.4W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.1N 104.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.3N 105.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.7N 105.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 130SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.6N 106.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.4N 110.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 150SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 22.2N 113.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 24.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 104.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS