000
WTPZ25 KNHC 102039
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
2100 UTC WED SEP 10 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 103.2W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 103.2W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 103.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.5N 103.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.7N 103.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.8N 103.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.2N 104.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 17.5N 105.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 20.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 24.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 103.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN