000
WTPZ25 KNHC 080245
TCMEP5

HURRICANE JULIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102014
0300 UTC FRI AUG 08 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JULIO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 139.1W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 150SE 150SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 139.1W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 138.4W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.8N 141.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 18.5N 144.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.4N 147.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.6N 149.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.9N 154.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 24.2N 159.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 25.0N 163.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 139.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FUTURE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP5 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA25 PHFO...BEGINNING AT 08/0900Z.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE