000
WTPZ25 KNHC 062046
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE JULIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102014
2100 UTC WED AUG 06 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 131.8W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  90SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 131.8W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 131.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.3N 134.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.9N 137.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.4N 140.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.0N 143.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 19.5N 148.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 21.5N 154.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 24.5N 158.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 131.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN