000
WTPZ25 KNHC 051431
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM JULIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102014
1500 UTC TUE AUG 05 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 124.7W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 20NE  30SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 124.7W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 124.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 14.4N 126.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.1N 129.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.7N 132.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.1N 135.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.0N 141.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  70SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 18.0N 147.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 20.0N 152.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 124.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN