000
WTPZ25 KNHC 050238
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM JULIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102014
0300 UTC TUE AUG 05 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 122.8W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 20NE  30SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 122.8W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 122.1W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.7N 124.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 14.2N 127.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 14.7N 130.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.2N 133.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.0N 138.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 16.5N 145.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 18.0N 151.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 122.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS