000
WTPZ25 KNHC 012035
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052014
2100 UTC TUE JUL 01 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 103.9W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 135 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 103.9W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 104.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.0N 103.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.8N 103.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.9N 104.1W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.0N 104.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.0N 106.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 17.0N 108.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 17.0N 111.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 103.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA